SpaceX Is Eyeing Its Own Mobile Network. Here’s Why Canada Won’t Be Easy.
SpaceX is telling investors it wants to launch its own Starlink mobile service for US consumers, and people familiar with the matter say it could be a bigger move than expected.
According to the Financial Times, four people familiar with the matter say SpaceX President and COO Gwynne Shotwell told investors during a recent IPO roadshow that the company is considering a Starlink retail mobile product, and could even build its own ground-based mobile network in the US.
That would mean SpaceX selling mobile contracts directly to customers, going head to head with Verizon, AT&T, and T-Mobile.
Right now, SpaceX sticks to a more limited role, partnering with carriers like T-Mobile (and Rogers in Canada) to fill rural coverage gaps. Terms aren’t public, but analysts believe SpaceX takes a cut of revenue from customers whose plans include satellite access.
Going retail would be one of SpaceX’s biggest moves since Starlink launched, opening a far bigger market than broadband alone and cutting its reliance on telecom middlemen.
The timing stands out too, coming just days after SpaceX’s $1.8 trillion IPO, which has pressured the company to keep showing investors new growth. Speculation has built for months, especially after SpaceX paid $17 billion to EchoStar last September for spectrum licences, a deal many saw as groundwork for this push.
In a bond prospectus seen by the Financial Times, SpaceX said Starlink Mobile would matter most in remote areas for now, but its longer-term goal is to “compete to be the preferred connectivity experience” everywhere, rural, suburban, or urban.
Some analysts told the Financial Times this could just be a tactic to squeeze better deals from Starlink’s carrier partners, citing steep build costs and SpaceX’s thin spectrum holdings, 65MHz versus the Big 3’s combined 1,020MHz, as reasons a real buildout would be tough.
For SpaceX to pull off something similar in Canada, it would need a lot more than what it already has. Starlink only holds a basic international telecom license here, good for broadband, not a full mobile network. Building out facilities-based mobile service would mean clearing CRTC and ISED approval as an actual carrier, plus securing its own wireless spectrum in a country that doesn’t have anything like the EchoStar deal SpaceX leaned on in the US.
There’s also Canada’s foreign ownership rules for telecom carriers to deal with (which Telus wants to axe), the same rules that have shaped past scrutiny of deals like Rogers and Shaw. For now, Starlink’s only real foothold in Canada is its existing rural broadband partnership with Rogers, so going fully independent here would be a much bigger deal than what’s being discussed in the US.
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I would not trust such a company.