Nintendo Switch 2 Sales Projected to Reach 15 Million in First Year

Nintendo states that it expects to sell 15 million units of its upcoming Nintendo Switch 2 console during its fiscal year, ending March 2026. This projection falls slightly short of the previous 16.8 million estimate projected by analysts.
In its latest financial report, the company pulls the curtain back on the first forecast in sales for the Nintendo Switch 2 since its announcement. Nintendo also reported its results for its fiscal fourth quarter and full year in the latest report.
According to the company, Nintendo’s revenue fell 24.7 percent in the fourth quarter when compared to the year prior. However, this doesn’t come as any shock as eager customers and fans are currently awaiting the release of Nintendo Switch 2 hardware and software. Nintendo’s operating profit also fell 46 percent to ¥35 billion (around $335,645 CAD) as its fiscal year concluded. Nintendo Switch hardware sales landed at 10.8 million units, with 155.4 million units of software being sold.
Nintendo’s forecast annual operating profit is reported to be ¥320 billion (roughly $3.05 billion CAD). This figure also comes short of previous estimates. This figure lands even though Nintendo Switch 2 pre-orders have been secured, starting at $629 in Canada.
Alongside its projection of 15 million units sold, Nintendo expects to sell 45 million units of software throughout its fiscal year. Nintendo Switch 2 is launching with Mario Kart World, Nintendo Switch 2 Welcome Tour, as well as Upgrade Packs for existing Nintendo Switch games. Then, in July, Donkey Kong Bananza launches for the new hardware. With Upgrade Packs for games like The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild and Kirby and the Forgotten Kingdom, Nintendo is utilizing many of its most famous mascots to drive sales.
Turning its attention to the ongoing tariff dispute from the US, Nintendo President Shuntaro Furukawa states that if additional tariffs are imposed, the company will be forced to react, as reported by Reuters. There’s a chance prices of hardware or software will need to be adjusted. US demand may also decrease. As the tariffs in the US impact global economics, Nintendo was already forced to delay US and Canada pre-orders back in April.
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